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AI State-Transition Attribution & Growth Engine

Daily state snapshots, a full event timeline and AI causal reasoning that attribute growth to what actually moved it — not last-click guesses.

The AI State-Transition Attribution & Growth Engine treats marketing as a sequence of states, not a pile of isolated charts. Every entity — account, campaign, page — gets a daily snapshot of metrics, every optimization becomes a timestamped event, and AI links the two with causal reasoning and evidence. When a metric jumps or falls, the engine can say which transition caused it, with confidence, and proposes the next experiment.

What it does

Daily state snapshots

Accounts and campaigns are snapshotted every day into a time-series state model — metrics, waste cost and a health score, with delta computation.

Full event timeline

Every optimization — budget, bid, keyword, ad, negative — becomes a timestamped growth event with old/new values.

AI causal reasoning with evidence

Anomaly detection triggers LLM reasoning that links cause and effect with evidence_links — and human corrections feed back into the model.

2σ anomaly detection

Statistical thresholds catch meaningful metric shifts before they compound, deduplicated per campaign+metric per day.

Impact prediction

For every detected anomaly, AI estimates the expected direction and magnitude of impact before you decide what to do.

Growth plan generation

State a goal and the engine decomposes it into tasks, budgets and a timeline — then tracks execution as events.

Tracked experiments

Any fix can become an experiment with baseline snapshot, automatic evaluation and a SUCCESS/FAILURE verdict.

14-day trend visualization

State sequences render as trend lines for impressions, clicks, cost, waste and impression share — a dashboard that reflects time, not totals.

Confidence-scored recommendations

Every diagnosis carries confidence, reasoning and evidence links, tracked through adopt/reject/implement.

Learning loop

Human verdicts and experiment outcomes feed back to sharpen future reasoning — the engine gets better the longer you run it.

Why it's different

vs. last-click attribution

Attribution is a time-series model: daily state snapshots plus an event timeline, so credit lands on the transition that moved the metric.

vs. single-metric dashboards

State transitions, evidence chains and experiments explain what changed and why — not just that a number moved.

vs. black-box attribution vendors

Every conclusion is a transparent chain: anomaly → evidence links → reasoning → confidence → recommendation.

vs. static reporting

The engine compounds: experiments and human feedback make each round of diagnosis sharper than the last.

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